0out of 100
Fair

11950 W Jessica Rae Ln, Tucson, AZ, USA

Score Breakdown
Profit Margin45/45
Demand & Speed8/35
Location8/20
$
Asking $60k$55,000
%
$11,000 cash at risk up front
61
11950 W Jessica Rae Ln, Tucson, AZ, USA
Deal Analysis

Fair

61/100

Strong resale opportunity — resell near $150k for about $82k profit (148.2% margin) after costs. Balanced demand, ~61 days on market.

Highlights
  • 148.2% profit margin after costs
  • $82k projected profit
  • Balanced buyer demand
Watch-outs
  • ~61 days on market — long hold

Price vs. Market

Needs Work

ARV Assessment

GoodLive · LLM + comps
ARV Low
$300k
Est. ARV
$345k
ARV High
$380k
Total Investment
$55k
Est. ARV
$345k
Rehab Cost
$0
Potential Equity
$290k
Comparable Reasoning

The ARV range for the subject property after full renovation is estimated to be between $300,000 and $380,000 based on selected comparables.

2 more details
Condition Assessment

Property presents in turnkey condition. Estimated rehab of $0 covers minor refresh and make-ready.

Methodology

Sales-comparison approach using 6 live sold comps from Realtor.com (filtered from 10 candidates), evaluated by LLM for proximity, recency, and renovation quality.

High confidence6 live sold comps

Comparable Sales

6 comps
12095 W Daviti Ln, Tucson, AZ
85% match
$263,000
$137/sqft
12095 W Daviti Ln, Tucson, AZ
4 2 1,9200.26 misold May 2026
8175 S Alice Vail Ln, Tucson, AZ
83% match
$164,500
$178/sqft
8175 S Alice Vail Ln, Tucson, AZ
2 2 9240.51 misold Jun 2026
8165 S Alice Vail Ln, Tucson, AZ
87% match
$268,000
$193/sqft
8165 S Alice Vail Ln, Tucson, AZ
2 2 1,3860.53 misold Jul 2026
12340 W Vegas Dr, Tucson, AZ
82% match
$185,000
$134/sqft
12340 W Vegas Dr, Tucson, AZ
3 2 1,3780.64 misold Aug 2026
7265 S Avalon Dr, Tucson, AZ
78% match
$65,000
$62/sqft
7265 S Avalon Dr, Tucson, AZ
2 2 1,0562.19 misold Apr 2025
8200 S Alice Vail Ln, Tucson, AZ
79% match
$135,000
$151/sqft
8200 S Alice Vail Ln, Tucson, AZ
2 1 8960.52 misold Sep 2024
ARV & comps — see the full analysis on Offa

Rental Income

GoodLive · 12 comps
25th pct
$1,700
Median /mo
$1,860
75th pct
$2,350
Monthly Rent
$1,860
Annual Rent
$22k
Rental Yield
40.6%
Cap Rate
22.3%
Market Assessment

Median area rent is $1,860/mo based on 12 comps. Standard deviation $384/mo indicates varied pricing in the area.

2 more details
Comparable Reasoning

Based on 12 comparable rentals within 10.0 miles of similar houses, monthly rents range from $1,700 (25th percentile) to $2,350 (75th percentile), with a median of $1,860.

Methodology

Median + 25th/75th percentile of comparable Realtor.com rentals within 10.0 miles. Standard deviation: $384.

Based on 12 rental comps within 10.0 mi · σ $384
Rental analysis — see the full analysis on Offa

Financing Calculator

GoodLive rate · Freddie Mac
Using the current 6.65% 30-yr fixed national average (as of 2026-08-20). Adjust below to match your quote.
Price
$55,000
Loan
$44,000
$11,000
%
%
↓ Monthly Costs
↑ Income Potential
Principal + Interest$282/mo
Estimated Rent$1,860/mo
Taxes + Insurance$360/mo
Cash-on-Cash Return132.87%
Total Payment
$642/mo
Monthly Cash Flow
+$1,218/mo
Positive cash flow: $1,218/mo

Neighborhood Profile

Needs WorkLive Data
CTier
Developing Neighborhood43/100
Composite socioeconomic score
Median Income
$53k
Median Home
$140k
Median Rent
$999/mo
Homeownership
87.4%
Vacancy
18.87%
Population
4,249
Score Breakdown
Income & Wealth
42
Housing Market
42
Education
9
Employment
60
Stability
80
Infrastructure
51
Neighborhood data — see the full analysis on Offa

City Population

GoodLive Data
Tucson, AZ
10-year population trend
+26% / decade
City Population
9,039
Density / sq mi
1,599
Area (sq mi)
167
Within 1 Mile
11,000
1-Mile Density
3,503
Trend Years
2014–2023

Get alerts for deals like this in Tucson

We'll email you when matching off-market deals hit Offa's marketplace.

Similar Off-Market Deals Nearby