0out of 100
Poor Deal

12007 West Southern Avenue, Tolleson, AZ, USA

Score Breakdown
Value13/40
Cash Flow0/35
Location15/25
$
$1,100,000
%
$220,000 cash at risk up front
28
12007 West Southern Avenue, Tolleson, AZ, USA
4 bd4 ba

Poor Deal

28/100

This is a risky deal. Watch that the price sits above market monthly cash flow is negative.

Highlights
  • Stable, average-risk fundamentals
Watch-outs
  • Priced 191% above market
  • $3,844/mo negative cash flow
  • Cap rate only 1.25%
  • No equity after repairs
  • Neighborhood scores 63/100

Price vs. Market

Needs Work
Your offer
$685/sqft
Area avg
$235/sqft
191% above market average
Your offer
$1,100,000
At market rate
$377,175

ARV Assessment

Needs WorkAI Estimate
ARV Low
$349k
Est. ARV
$388k
ARV High
$431k
Total Investment
$1.1M
Est. ARV
$388k
Rehab Cost
$7k
Potential Equity
$-712k
Comparable Reasoning

Based on 4 recent sales within 0.5 miles, comparable multi-family homes of similar size traded between $349k and $431k. The subject's 1,605 sqft and 4bd/4ba layout supports a midpoint estimate of $388k.

2 more details
Condition Assessment

Property presents in moderate condition. Estimated rehab of $7k covers kitchen, baths, and systems.

Methodology

Sales-comparison approach weighted by recency, proximity, and price-per-sqft, adjusted for condition and lot. Confidence: high.

High confidenceNo photos analyzed
ARV & comps — see the full analysis on Offa

Rental Income

Needs WorkLive · 6 comps
25th pct
$2,500
Median /mo
$2,750
75th pct
$2,800
Monthly Rent
$2,750
Annual Rent
$33k
Rental Yield
3.0%
Cap Rate
1.6%
Market Assessment

Median area rent is $2,750/mo based on 6 comps. Standard deviation $171/mo indicates consistent pricing in the area.

2 more details
Comparable Reasoning

Based on 6 comparable rentals within 1.0 miles of similar houses, monthly rents range from $2,500 (25th percentile) to $2,800 (75th percentile), with a median of $2,750.

Methodology

Median + 25th/75th percentile of comparable Realtor.com rentals within 1.0 miles. Standard deviation: $171.

Based on 6 rental comps within 1.0 mi · σ $171
Rental analysis — see the full analysis on Offa

Financing Calculator

Needs WorkLive rate · Freddie Mac
Using the current 6.52% 30-yr fixed national average (as of 2026-06-11). Adjust below to match your quote.
Price
$1,100,000
Loan
$880,000
$220,000
%
%
↓ Monthly Costs
↑ Income Potential
Principal + Interest$5,574/mo
Estimated Rent$2,750/mo
Taxes + Insurance$360/mo
Cash-on-Cash Return-16.82%
Total Payment
$5,934/mo
Monthly Cash Flow
$-3,184/mo
Negative cash flow: $3,184/mo
Monthly expenses exceed rental income. Consider a lower offer, larger down payment, or higher rent.

Neighborhood Profile

FairLive Data
CTier
Emerging Neighborhood56/100
Composite socioeconomic score
Median Income
$89k
Median Home
$345k
Median Rent
$1,626/mo
Homeownership
69.74%
Vacancy
4.18%
Population
44,995
Score Breakdown
Income & Wealth
56
Housing Market
69
Education
17
Employment
73
Stability
46
Infrastructure
68
Neighborhood data — see the full analysis on Offa

City Population

GoodLive Data
Tolleson, AZ
10-year population trend
+7.8% / decade
City Population
7,233
Density / sq mi
1,262
Area (sq mi)
6
Within 1 Mile
2,768
1-Mile Density
881
Trend Years
2014–2023

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