0out of 100
Poor Deal

12007 West Southern Avenue, Tolleson, AZ, USA

Score Breakdown
Value13/40
Cash Flow0/35
Location17/25
$
$1,100,000
%
$220,000 cash at risk up front
30
12007 West Southern Avenue, Tolleson, AZ, USA
4 bd4 ba

Poor Deal

30/100

This is a risky deal. Watch that the price sits above market monthly cash flow is negative.

Highlights
  • Stable, average-risk fundamentals
Watch-outs
  • Priced 191% above market
  • $3,844/mo negative cash flow
  • Cap rate only 1.25%
  • No equity after repairs
  • Neighborhood scores 63/100

Price vs. Market

Needs Work
Your offer
$685/sqft
Area avg
$235/sqft
191% above market average
Your offer
$1,100,000
At market rate
$377,175

ARV Assessment

Needs WorkAI Estimate
ARV Low
$349k
Est. ARV
$388k
ARV High
$431k
Total Investment
$1.1M
Est. ARV
$388k
Rehab Cost
$7k
Potential Equity
$-712k
Comparable Reasoning

Based on 4 recent sales within 0.5 miles, comparable multi-family homes of similar size traded between $349k and $431k. The subject's 1,605 sqft and 4bd/4ba layout supports a midpoint estimate of $388k.

2 more details
Condition Assessment

Property presents in moderate condition. Estimated rehab of $7k covers kitchen, baths, and systems.

Methodology

Sales-comparison approach weighted by recency, proximity, and price-per-sqft, adjusted for condition and lot. Confidence: high.

High confidenceNo photos analyzed
ARV & comps — see the full analysis on Offa

Rental Income

Needs WorkAI Estimate
Rent Low
$1,920
Est. Rent/mo
$2,090
Rent High
$2,300
Monthly Rent
$2,090
Annual Rent
$25k
Rental Yield
2.3%
Cap Rate
1.3%
Market Assessment

The Tolleson rental market shows strong demand. Median area rent is $1,626/mo with a 4% vacancy rate.

2 more details
Comparable Reasoning

Comparable 4bd units nearby rent for $1,920–$2,300. At $2,090/mo the gross yield is 2.28% of the purchase price.

Methodology

Rent estimated from active and leased comps adjusted for size, condition, and submarket trends.

Rental analysis — see the full analysis on Offa

Financing Calculator

Needs WorkLive rate · Freddie Mac
Using the current 6.52% 30-yr fixed national average (as of 2026-06-11). Adjust below to match your quote.
Price
$1,100,000
Loan
$880,000
$220,000
%
%
↓ Monthly Costs
↑ Income Potential
Principal + Interest$5,574/mo
Estimated Rent$2,090/mo
Taxes + Insurance$360/mo
Cash-on-Cash Return-20.97%
Total Payment
$5,934/mo
Monthly Cash Flow
$-3,844/mo
Negative cash flow: $3,844/mo
Monthly expenses exceed rental income. Consider a lower offer, larger down payment, or higher rent.

Neighborhood Profile

FairLive Data
CTier
Emerging Neighborhood56/100
Composite socioeconomic score
Median Income
$89k
Median Home
$345k
Median Rent
$1,626/mo
Homeownership
69.74%
Vacancy
4.18%
Population
44,995
Score Breakdown
Income & Wealth
56
Housing Market
69
Education
17
Employment
73
Stability
46
Infrastructure
68
Neighborhood data — see the full analysis on Offa

City Population

GoodLive Data
Tolleson, AZ
10-year population trend
+7.8% / decade
City Population
7,233
Density / sq mi
1,262
Area (sq mi)
6
Within 1 Mile
2,768
1-Mile Density
881
Trend Years
2014–2023

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