0out of 100
Good Deal

2415 Birch Canyon Court, Fresno, TX, USA

Score Breakdown
Value38/40
Cash Flow26/35
Location14/25
$
$280,000
%
$56,000 cash at risk up front
78
2415 Birch Canyon Court, Fresno, TX, USA
4 bd2 ba

Good Deal

78/100

This is a solid deal — priced below the local market with healthy equity after repairs. Watch that the rental yield is thin.

Highlights
  • 26% below area price per sqft
  • $120k potential equity (24%)
  • $276/mo positive cash flow
  • Strong neighborhood (71/100)
Watch-outs
  • Cap rate only 4.83%

Price vs. Market

Needs Work
Your offer
$167/sqft
Area avg
$149/sqft
12% above market average
Your offer
$280,000
At market rate
$249,873

ARV Assessment

GoodLive · LLM + comps
ARV Low
$350k
Est. ARV
$400k
ARV High
$450k
Total Investment
$280k
Est. ARV
$400k
Rehab Cost
$8k
Potential Equity
$120k
Comparable Reasoning

The After-Repair Value (ARV) for the subject property ranges from $350,000 to $450,000 after full renovation, based on high-quality comparables with recent updates and high price per square foot.

2 more details
Condition Assessment

Property presents in moderate condition. Estimated rehab of $8k covers kitchen, baths, and systems.

Methodology

Sales-comparison approach using 6 live sold comps from Realtor.com (filtered from 10 candidates), evaluated by LLM for proximity, recency, and renovation quality.

High confidence6 live sold comps

Comparable Sales

6 comps
3506 Evergreen Square Trl, Fresno, TX
90% match
$305,000
$121/sqft
3506 Evergreen Square Trl, Fresno, TX
4 2.5 2,5150.06 misold Oct 2025
2355 Emory Knoll Dr, Fresno, TX
85% match
$285,000
$160/sqft
2355 Emory Knoll Dr, Fresno, TX
3 2 1,7800.17 misold Sep 2023
2423 Inlet Ct, Fresno, TX
80% match
$424,990
$155/sqft
2423 Inlet Ct, Fresno, TX
5 3.5 2,7500.20 mi
2415 Inlet Ct, Fresno, TX
79% match
$414,990
$158/sqft
2415 Inlet Ct, Fresno, TX
4 3.5 2,6250.20 mi
3402 Dartmouth Field Ln, Fresno, TX
75% match
$214,402
$144/sqft
3402 Dartmouth Field Ln, Fresno, TX
3 2.5 1,4930.28 misold May 2026
3931 Oak Plank Rd, Fresno, TX
70% match
$279,900
$104/sqft
3931 Oak Plank Rd, Fresno, TX
4 2.5 2,6800.23 misold May 2026
ARV & comps — see the full analysis on Offa

Rental Income

FairLive · 14 comps
25th pct
$2,120
Median /mo
$2,220
75th pct
$2,350
Monthly Rent
$2,220
Annual Rent
$27k
Rental Yield
9.5%
Cap Rate
5.2%
Market Assessment

Median area rent is $2,220/mo based on 14 comps. Standard deviation $202/mo indicates consistent pricing in the area.

2 more details
Comparable Reasoning

Based on 14 comparable rentals of similar houses, monthly rents range from $2,120 (25th percentile) to $2,350 (75th percentile), with a median of $2,220.

Methodology

Median + 25th/75th percentile of comparable Realtor.com rentals. Standard deviation: $202.

Based on 14 rental comps · σ $202
Rental analysis — see the full analysis on Offa

Financing Calculator

GoodLive rate · Freddie Mac
Using the current 6.49% 30-yr fixed national average (as of 2026-06-25). Adjust below to match your quote.
Price
$280,000
Loan
$224,000
$56,000
%
%
↓ Monthly Costs
↑ Income Potential
Principal + Interest$1,414/mo
Estimated Rent$2,220/mo
Taxes + Insurance$360/mo
Cash-on-Cash Return8.38%
Total Payment
$1,774/mo
Monthly Cash Flow
+$446/mo
Positive cash flow: $446/mo

Neighborhood Profile

FairLive Data
BTier
Stable Neighborhood64/100
Composite socioeconomic score
Median Income
$91k
Median Home
$240k
Median Rent
$2,102/mo
Homeownership
84.78%
Vacancy
7.17%
Population
25,863
Score Breakdown
Income & Wealth
71
Housing Market
69
Education
42
Employment
66
Stability
62
Infrastructure
86
Neighborhood data — see the full analysis on Offa

City Population

GoodLive Data
Fresno, TX
10-year population trend
+18.2% / decade
City Population
24,087
Density / sq mi
3,785
Area (sq mi)
237
Within 1 Mile
11,000
1-Mile Density
3,503
Trend Years
2014–2023

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