0out of 100
Good Deal

2415 Birch Canyon Court, Fresno, TX, USA

Score Breakdown
Value40/40
Cash Flow21/35
Location16/25
$
$280,000
%
$56,000 cash at risk up front
77
2415 Birch Canyon Court, Fresno, TX, USA
4 bd2 ba

Good Deal

77/100

This is a solid deal — priced below the local market with healthy equity after repairs. Watch that the rental yield is thin.

Highlights
  • 26% below area price per sqft
  • $120k potential equity (24%)
  • $276/mo positive cash flow
  • Strong neighborhood (71/100)
Watch-outs
  • Cap rate only 4.83%

Price vs. Market

Good
Your offer
$167/sqft
Area avg
$227/sqft
26% below market average
Your offer
$280,000
At market rate
$380,679

ARV Assessment

GoodAI Estimate
ARV Low
$352k
Est. ARV
$400k
ARV High
$452k
Total Investment
$280k
Est. ARV
$400k
Rehab Cost
$8k
Potential Equity
$120k
Comparable Reasoning

Based on 4 recent sales within 0.5 miles, comparable multi-family homes of similar size traded between $352k and $452k. The subject's 1,677 sqft and 4bd/2ba layout supports a midpoint estimate of $400k.

2 more details
Condition Assessment

Property presents in moderate condition. Estimated rehab of $8k covers kitchen, baths, and systems.

Methodology

Sales-comparison approach weighted by recency, proximity, and price-per-sqft, adjusted for condition and lot. Confidence: high.

High confidenceNo photos analyzed
ARV & comps — see the full analysis on Offa

Rental Income

FairAI Estimate
Rent Low
$1,890
Est. Rent/mo
$2,050
Rent High
$2,260
Monthly Rent
$2,050
Annual Rent
$25k
Rental Yield
8.8%
Cap Rate
4.8%
Market Assessment

The Fresno rental market shows strong demand. Median area rent is $2,102/mo with a 7% vacancy rate.

2 more details
Comparable Reasoning

Comparable 4bd units nearby rent for $1,890–$2,260. At $2,050/mo the gross yield is 8.79% of the purchase price.

Methodology

Rent estimated from active and leased comps adjusted for size, condition, and submarket trends.

Rental analysis — see the full analysis on Offa

Financing Calculator

GoodLive rate · Freddie Mac
Using the current 6.49% 30-yr fixed national average (as of 2026-06-25). Adjust below to match your quote.
Price
$280,000
Loan
$224,000
$56,000
%
%
↓ Monthly Costs
↑ Income Potential
Principal + Interest$1,414/mo
Estimated Rent$2,050/mo
Taxes + Insurance$360/mo
Cash-on-Cash Return5.91%
Total Payment
$1,774/mo
Monthly Cash Flow
+$276/mo
Positive cash flow: $276/mo

Neighborhood Profile

FairLive Data
BTier
Stable Neighborhood64/100
Composite socioeconomic score
Median Income
$91k
Median Home
$240k
Median Rent
$2,102/mo
Homeownership
84.78%
Vacancy
7.17%
Population
25,863
Score Breakdown
Income & Wealth
71
Housing Market
69
Education
42
Employment
66
Stability
62
Infrastructure
86
Neighborhood data — see the full analysis on Offa

City Population

GoodLive Data
Fresno, TX
10-year population trend
+18.2% / decade
City Population
24,087
Density / sq mi
3,785
Area (sq mi)
237
Within 1 Mile
11,000
1-Mile Density
3,503
Trend Years
2014–2023

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