OffaDeal Grader
Sign Up for Offa
0out of 100
Poor Deal

30960 Telegraph Dr, Winchester, CA, USA

Score Breakdown
Value13/40
Cash Flow0/35
Location15/25
$
$749,500
%
$149,900 cash at risk up front
$Get up to 100% financingDSCR, hard money, conventional→
28
30960 Telegraph Dr, Winchester, CA, USA
4 bd4 ba2,705 sqft

Poor Deal

28/100

This is a risky deal. Watch that the price sits above market monthly cash flow is negative.

Highlights
  • Strong neighborhood (74/100)
Watch-outs
  • Priced 81% above market
  • $1,778/mo negative cash flow
  • Cap rate only 2.1%
  • No equity after repairs

Price vs. Market

Needs Work
Your offer
$277/sqft
Area avg
$153/sqft
81% above market average
Your offer
$749,500
At market rate
$413,865
Offa surfaces better-priced dealsSee sharper off-market 4bd deals in Winchester that pencil outFind better deals
Off-market deals on Offa
See all
2251 ALTISMA WAY, CARLSBAD, CA 92009
30% to ARV
$599,900ARV $780k
2251 ALTISMA WAY, CARLSBAD, CA 92009
Single Family2bd2ba1,031 sqft
View on Offa
7374 Olympic Rd, Joshua Tree, CA, USA
27% to ARV
$510,000ARV $650k
7374 Olympic Rd, Joshua Tree, CA, USA
Single Family2bd2ba652 sqft
View on Offa

ARV Assessment

Needs WorkAI Estimate
ARV Low
$364k
Est. ARV
$418k
ARV High
$456k
Total Investment
$750k
Est. ARV
$418k
Rehab Cost
$12k
Potential Equity
$-331k
Comparable Reasoning

Based on 6 recent sales within 0.5 miles, comparable townhome homes of similar size traded between $364k and $456k. The subject's 2,705 sqft and 4bd/4ba layout supports a midpoint estimate of $418k.

2 more details
Condition Assessment

Property presents in turnkey condition. Estimated rehab of $12k covers minor refresh and make-ready.

Methodology

Sales-comparison approach weighted by recency, proximity, and price-per-sqft, adjusted for condition and lot. Confidence: moderate.

Moderate confidenceNo photos analyzed
ARV & comps — see the full analysis on Offa

Rental Income

Needs WorkLive · 10 comps
25th pct
$1,500
Median /mo
$1,600
75th pct
$1,600
Monthly Rent
$1,600
Annual Rent
$19k
Rental Yield
2.6%
Cap Rate
1.4%
Market Assessment

Median area rent is $1,600/mo based on 10 comps. Standard deviation $92/mo indicates consistent pricing in the area.

2 more details
Comparable Reasoning

Based on 10 comparable rentals within 50.0 miles of similar houses, monthly rents range from $1,500 (25th percentile) to $1,600 (75th percentile), with a median of $1,600.

Methodology

Median + 25th/75th percentile of comparable Realtor.com rentals within 50.0 miles. Standard deviation: $92.

Based on 10 rental comps within 50.0 mi · σ $92
Rental analysis — see the full analysis on Offa

Financing Calculator

Needs WorkLive rate · Freddie Mac
Using the current 6.52% 30-yr fixed national average (as of 2026-06-11). Adjust below to match your quote.
Price
$749,500
Loan
$599,600
$149,900
%
%
↓ Monthly Costs
↑ Income Potential
Principal + Interest$3,798/mo
Estimated Rent$1,600/mo
Taxes + Insurance$360/mo
Cash-on-Cash Return-19.00%
Total Payment
$4,158/mo
Monthly Cash Flow
$-2,558/mo
Negative cash flow: $2,558/mo
Monthly expenses exceed rental income. Consider a lower offer, larger down payment, or higher rent.
Off-market deals on Offa
See all
510 S HEWITT ST, UNIT 316, LOS ANGELES, CA 90013
1% to ARV
$549,000ARV $556k
510 S HEWITT ST, UNIT 316, LOS ANGELES, CA 90013
Single Family1bd1ba912 sqft
View on Offa
2251 ALTISMA WAY, CARLSBAD, CA 92009
30% to ARV
$599,900ARV $780k
2251 ALTISMA WAY, CARLSBAD, CA 92009
Single Family2bd2ba1,031 sqft
View on Offa

Neighborhood Profile

FairLive Data
BTier
Stable Neighborhood69/100
Composite socioeconomic score
Median Income
$121k
Median Home
$616k
Median Rent
$2,573/mo
Homeownership
82.95%
Vacancy
5.66%
Population
36,725
Score Breakdown
Income & Wealth
77
Housing Market
82
Education
52
Employment
63
Stability
42
Infrastructure
91
Neighborhood data — see the full analysis on Offa

City Population

GoodLive Data
Winchester, CA
10-year population trend
+36.8% / decade
City Population
3,716
Density / sq mi
4,190
Area (sq mi)
163
Within 1 Mile
7,000
1-Mile Density
2,229
Trend Years
2014–2023
Off-market deals on Offa
See all
7374 Olympic Rd, Joshua Tree, CA, USA
27% to ARV
$510,000ARV $650k
7374 Olympic Rd, Joshua Tree, CA, USA
Single Family2bd2ba652 sqft
View on Offa
510 S HEWITT ST, UNIT 316, LOS ANGELES, CA 90013
1% to ARV
$549,000ARV $556k
510 S HEWITT ST, UNIT 316, LOS ANGELES, CA 90013
Single Family1bd1ba912 sqft
View on Offa

Get alerts for deals like this in Winchester

We'll email you when matching off-market deals hit Offa's marketplace.

Similar Off-Market Deals Nearby

Full details available on Offa's marketplace.